The global economy is set to grow at roughly three per cent over the next five years – the slowest pace since 1990, the head of the International Monetary Fund has said.
Kristalina Georgieva said the path ahead was “rough and foggy” – and warned that cooperation to address the problems was becoming more difficult. She spoke in Washington ahead of the IMF’s annual meeting. In her remarks, she called for more help for low-income countries.
“For the weakest members of our global family, additional support from wealthier countries is essential,” she said, calling for countries to boost funds for the IMF, which makes low-cost loans to countries in need.
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Last year, global growth dropped almost in half to 3.4 per cent, following a post-pandemic surge in 2021.That was below the 3.8 per cent average growth of the last two decades.
The slowdown has continued this year, despite strong job markets in countries such as the US. The IMF said it expected growth to dip below three per cent in 2023, with India and China accounting for more than half of the growth.
Roughly 90 per cent of advanced economies are expected to see growth decline, reflecting the weight of higher borrowing costs, after central banks raised interest rates sharply to stabilise soaring prices.
For low-income countries, higher borrowing costs come at a time of weakening demand for their exports. “That is a severe blow, making it even harder for low-income nations to catch up,” Georgieva said.
Poverty and hunger could further increase, a dangerous trend that was started by the Covid crisis,” she added. While calling for support for vulnerable nations, Ms Georgieva said authorities should continue to raise interest rates to fight inflation – “so long as financial pressures remain limited”.
“If that were to change, policymakers would face an even more complicated task, with difficult trade-offs between their inflation and financial stability objectives and the use of their respective tools,” she said.
