Ghana’s economy recovers strongly in 2nd quarter – Fitch Solutions

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Ghana’s economy recovered strongly during the second quarter of this year and is expected to continue for the remaining quarters of the year, despite the presence of covid-19.

According to Fitch Solutions, research arm of ratings agency, Fitch, its data suggests that the economy is on a strong rebound, consistent with the Bank of Ghana’s Composite Index of Economic Activity as well as Business and Consumer Confidence Survey.

The economy expanded by 3.1% in the first quarter of this year, aided by Construction, Manufacturing as well as Information and Communication sub sectors.

But it was lower than what was realized the same period in 2019.

High frequency data suggests strong recoveries in Kenya, Uganda and Ghana, while weak Q12021 Gross Domestic Product readings for South Africa and Mozambique point to a muted outlook for Southern Africa”, it pointed out.

Meanwhile, Fitch Solutions expects the Policy Rate-the rate at which Bank of Ghana lends to commercial banks to remain same at 13.5% for the rest of the year to support economic recovery.

Read also: Ghana: Trade surplus narrows further

Senior Risk Analyst in charge of sub-Saharan Africa at Fitch Solutions, William Attwell  said the policy rate will be kept at it current level to stimulate economic recovery.

Our view now is that we expect the Central Bank to hold the benchmark interest rate at its currently level -13.5% until the end of the year. This is to enable the eceonomic recovery to gain momentum in the coming months”.

Economy expanded by 3.1% in quarter one

The Ghanaian economy expanded by 3.1% in the first quarter of this year, the lowest since the same period in 2019.

However, in the same period of 2020, the GDP growth rate was 7.0%.

The Agriculture sector recorded the highest growth of 4.3% and was followed by the Services sector with a growth of 4.0%. The Industry sector expanded by a paltry 1.3%.

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